Wednesday, 21 October 2009

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Transactions: WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS
Transactions ID Number: 29-801
Full Name: Zhou Wei
Position: Ph.D. Candidate
Age: ON
Sex: Male
Address: Xiamen University mailbox 1958,Fujian province
Country: CHINA
Tel: 13015910095
Tel prefix: 0086
Fax: 05922580101
E-mail address: ttomcc@gmail.com
Other E-mails: ttomcc@126.com
Title of the Paper: systems dynamics of future urbanization and energy-related co2 emissions in china
Authors as they appear in the Paper: Zhou Wei,Mi Hong
Email addresses of all the authors: ttomcc@gmail.com,spsswork@163.com
Number of paper pages: 10
Abstract: China is undergoing urbanization on the largest scale in the world, which need huge amounts of energy,and will emit huge amounts of CO2 into atmosphere.Now China is the country that emits most CO2 in the world. Urbanization means population migrate to city and town, which will increase sharply demand for energy and other resource.Considering the energy efficiency and energy structure in China,the situation will be extremely serious. The urbanization is caused by population migrating from rural to urban areas, which is promoted by the income gap between them. We compute the migration size based on rural and urban income gap and space discrepancy of the distribution of population and economic activities, and futher calculate the number of new residents in cities. What is more,taking Chinese industrial structure and energy consumption in each industry into account,we calculate energy consumption and CO2 Emissions in the year 2010-2030. Considering energy consumption s!
tructure will be changed in the future,we simulate the CO2 Emissions in different energy consumption structure. The conclusion is that CO2 Emissions can be reduced 1.95 billion tons in 2030 if clear energy account for 20% of total energy consumption.
Keywords: Urbanization,Energy Demand£¬Energy Structure£¬CO2 Emissions£¬Systems Dynamics
EXTENSION of the file: .doc
Special (Invited) Session: Calculation of Energy Demand,Energy Structure and CO2 Emissions in China(2010-2030)
Organizer of the Session: 619-223
How Did you learn about congress: nathalie.pessel@univ-tln.fr£¬stefan.koenig@uni.lu
IP ADDRESS: 219.229.30.174